Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.034087 0.037117 0.040159 0.043435 0.046858 0.050324 0.054093
2026-01-18 0.029563 0.034086 0.038767 0.043950 0.049507 0.055265 0.061664
2026-01-25 0.024604 0.030049 0.035854 0.042451 0.049691 0.057347 0.066012
2026-02-01 0.021261 0.027409 0.034146 0.041980 0.050748 0.060179 0.071011
2026-02-08 0.018694 0.025379 0.032895 0.041818 0.051981 0.063069 0.075963
2026-02-15 0.017325 0.024583 0.032922 0.042989 0.054613 0.067437 0.082490
2026-02-22 0.016021 0.023737 0.032786 0.043883 0.056858 0.071316 0.088429
2026-03-01 0.014671 0.022716 0.032350 0.044346 0.058541 0.074507 0.093551
2026-03-08 0.013355 0.021632 0.031753 0.044545 0.059856 0.077232 0.098105
2026-03-15 0.012564 0.021156 0.031848 0.045530 0.062059 0.080950 0.103773
2026-03-22 0.011082 0.019663 0.030592 0.044803 0.062175 0.082205 0.106573
2026-03-29 0.010148 0.018839 0.030130 0.045005 0.063362 0.084679 0.110756
2026-04-05 0.009436 0.018297 0.030027 0.045670 0.065142 0.087897 0.115872
2026-04-12 0.008709 0.017683 0.029796 0.046151 0.066686 0.090835 0.120666
2026-04-19 0.007301 0.015961 0.028010 0.044585 0.065668 0.090689 0.121815
2026-04-26 0.006400 0.014922 0.027091 0.044089 0.065935 0.092050 0.124717
2026-05-03 0.005688 0.014116 0.026447 0.043917 0.066580 0.093848 0.128121
2026-05-10 0.005448 0.014059 0.026847 0.045118 0.068950 0.097734 0.134015
2026-05-17 0.005146 0.013870 0.027043 0.046035 0.070956 0.101174 0.139377
2026-05-24 0.004745 0.013478 0.026922 0.046510 0.072386 0.103907 0.143888
2026-05-31 0.004305 0.012977 0.026615 0.046714 0.073456 0.106188 0.147852
2026-06-07 0.004099 0.012883 0.026903 0.047726 0.075563 0.109744 0.153354
2026-06-14 0.003498 0.011984 0.025939 0.046980 0.075370 0.110445 0.155393